This year almost certain to breach 1.5°C: EU Copernicus
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The global average temperature in 2026 is "virtually certain" to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, a key Paris climate agreement target, the EU's earth-monitoring programme Copernicus said today.
The global average temperature in 2026 is "virtually certain" to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, a key Paris climate agreement target, the EU's earth-monitoring programme Copernicus said today.
"Virtually certain" means a probability of over 99pc, according to the statistical model Copernicus uses.
It predicts a range of 1.56°C-1.61°C for 2026. The Paris agreement seeks to curb the global rise in temperature to "well below" 2°C above the pre-industrial average, and pursues a 1.5°C limit.
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