The Guardian view on the midterms and foreign policy: American voters spoke, and now the world waits anxiously
The Guardian · Editorial ·
Editorial: The Democrats have gained new powers to constrain Donald Trump. But the drubbing that Republicans received could yet prompt him to new excesses
Donald Trump is a president without parallel, but history can still be instructive. Lame duck presidents often focus on foreign policy to escape domestic discontent and establish a legacy in an area where a hostile Congress offers less of an obstacle. Mr Trump, who was stunningly rebuffed by voters in Tuesday’s midterms, might seek satisfaction in construction projects, the 2028 presidential race and his family’s future. Or, amid the humiliation and with Republican critics growing louder, he could distract attention with fresh adventurism – perhaps escalating against Cuba – or more likely a vengeful new offensive against Iran.
Mr Trump won’t put in the legwork or attention to detail demanded by, say, Bill Clinton’s push for lasting peace in the Middle East. But he loves the glitz of state visits, spectacular military action, hobnobbing with strongmen and (unearned) credit for dubious “peace deals”. With a potential three-way meeting with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping mooted for the Apec summit in China this month, Ukraine, Taiwan and others have reason to be nervous.
“The reason we lost [the midterms] is the war,” wrote JD Vance, the vice-president, on X. Mr Trump himself acknowledged Iran’s impact. Though voters don’t always connect action overseas to consequences at home, the link to higher prices was clear. Resuming the bombing would only deepen the crisis. The president has so far withstood Benjamin Netanyahu’s blandishments to renew their illegal war, and the Israeli prime minister is now fighting for political survival after last month’s election. But a negotiated exit looks more difficult than ever. A more militarised and hardline regime in Iran has seen the advantages of broadening the conflict and is crowing over Tuesday’s results.
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