Gina Hinojosa’s Chances of Beating Greg Abbott—What Final Texas Polls Show

Newsweek · Dan Gooding, Jennifer Radcliffe · 2026-11-03 11:01 UTC

After leading for much of the campaign, Texas' Republican governor is facing a more competitive challenge to his fourth-term bid.

While most eyes in Texas have been on the U.S. Senate race, the state's gubernatorial election has drawn closer in the final stretch of the campaign—with the Democratic challenger, state Representative Gina Hinojosa, showing a potential lead over Republican Governor Greg Abbott.

Abbott, who has held the office since 2015, has been in front for much of the 2026 midterm campaign, but polling in recent weeks and days has shown Hinojosa gaining on him.

Other recent polling has shown Abbott out in front, a position he has dominated for much of the past few months in a state that has mostly voted Republicans to statewide office for the past few decades.

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