Florida Democrats Narrow GOP Margins in Boost for 2028 Election

The Wall Street Journal · Arian Campo-Flores, Alex Leary, Vera Bergengruen, Sabrina Rodriguez · 2026-11-06 15:38 UTC

Democratic gains make epicenter of MAGA more competitive in next presidential election

Nov. 6, 2026 10:38 am ET

Florida emerged from this week’s historic blue wave still a red state, but one where dramatic gains by Democrats stand to make it more competitive in 2028—if the party can rebuild and fund its long-neglected political operation.

Democrats fared far better after drubbings in 2024, when President Trump won Florida by 13 percentage points, and 2022, when Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis rode pandemic anger to win re-election by 19 points. This year, Republican Ashley Moody beat Democrat Angie Nixon in the Senate race by three points, while Republican Byron Donalds edged Democrat David Jolly by little more than a point in the governor’s race.

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