The midterms blew open the 2028 map. Republicans are panicking.

POLITICO · Aaron Pellish, Lauren Fedor, Lisa Kashinsky · 2026-11-06 10:00 UTC

Strategists on both sides agree: Ohio, Texas and Iowa should be competitive in 2028.

Brutal red-state losses are raising alarm among Republicans about the 2028 presidential battlefield.

Democrats’ midterm blowout is upending the political calculus for future presidential campaigns, more than a dozen strategists on both sides told POLITICO. Republicans are stressing the ramifications of a major tranche of once-reliably Republican Electoral College votes being in jeopardy, while Democrats are weighing how much surprise wins on red turf should reshape their electoral strategy.

“Last night undoubtedly made the mechanics of winning in 2028 harder for Republicans,” said former Trump 2020 campaign manager Bill Stepien.

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